NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated September 14, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Batchelor | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 1 | 26.4 | 4 |
| 1 | Steve Creaser | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 1 | 25.1 | 6 |
| 1 | Gavin Gray | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 1 | 25.9 | 5 |
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 1 | 28.1 | 1 |
| 1 | Karl Loiseau | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 1 | 27.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 2 | 48 | 66.7% | 1 | 27.0 | 3 |
| 7 | Matt Hogel | 1 | 48 | 33.3% | 7 | 25.1 | 6 |
| 7 | Luke Phelan | 1 | 48 | 33.3% | 7 | 23.9 | 8 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 0 | 48 | 0.0% | 9 | 22.8 | 9 |
| 9 | Mike Thorne | 0 | 48 | 0.0% | 9 | 22.6 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 1 | 12.0 | TEN | 0.81 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 7.2 | CAR | 0.59 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 7.2 | @ PIT | 0.55 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 1 | 9.5 | @ PHI | 0.41 |
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 9.7 | @ DET | 0.41 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0 | 7.8 | @ LV | 0.30 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 8.8 | TB | 0.41 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 7.1 | NE | 0.45 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0 | 10.0 | @ DAL | 0.76 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 8.6 | NYJ | 0.70 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1 | 11.1 | @ KC | 0.34 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 0 | 7.8 | SEA | 0.81 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 1 | 10.5 | MIA | 0.62 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 10.8 | MIN | 0.59 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 6.8 | IND | 0.36 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 6.1 | @ GB | 0.20 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 1 | 10.5 | LAC | 0.66 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0 | 8.5 | ARI | 0.70 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 8.6 | @ BAL | 0.38 |
| Green Bay Packers | 0 | 11.1 | CHI | 0.80 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 4.2 | @ DEN | 0.19 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | 12.5 | @ NO | 0.59 |
| Detroit Lions | 0 | 6.2 | WAS | 0.59 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0 | 6.4 | @ BUF | 0.19 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 0 | 8.0 | HOU | 0.81 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 0 | 9.3 | ATL | 0.82 |
| New York Jets | 0 | 5.5 | @ CLE | 0.30 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 7.7 | @ NYG | 0.41 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 0 | 7.3 | CIN | 0.24 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0 | 7.6 | @ JAK | 0.64 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| New England Patriots | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| New York Giants | 1 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Chicago Bears | 1 | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0 | 6 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 0 | 10 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 1 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Detroit Lions | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | 11 |
| Miami Dolphins | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 13 |
| Denver Broncos | 0 | 13 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| New York Jets | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 0 | 9 | 1 | -1 | 10 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0 | 14 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Draft Results
